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Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Dear SaaStr: What Happens When a VC Loses All Their Money on a Startup Investment?

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Dear SaaStr: What Happens When a VC Loses All Their Money on a Startup Investment?

It’s a question being asked more often these days, unfortunately.  And the answer?

It’s OK — up to a point:

  • So long as the founders did everything they possibly could to make it work. Truly everything; and
  • The total loss is relatively small compared to (1) that partner’s total portfolio and (2) the total fund size.

There are two types of losses for VCs and professional investors: losses than fit into your “expected loss rate” … and unexpected, and often, abnormally high losses. The first is OK. The second can be Game Over.

Statistically, every early-stage investor is going to see some % of her investment fail, and a large other % not really make much money. As a true angel, your effective failure rate could be as high as 90%. As long as there is one Uber in there — you’re doing fine 🙂 By contrast, late stage investors can’t really afford too much large losses at all. Because the upside is also more bounded.

But net net in all this … investors know what they are doing. They know the risks they are taking.

You should only feel bad if (i) if you were dishonest, or otherwise didn’t disclose key risks — you mislead the investors, such that they couldn’t 100% see the risks — or (ii) didn’t give it every ounce of your soul to make it a success.


When investors get hurt hard is when something isn’t supposed to lose money … loses a lot of money. E.g., I write a $500k first into a start-up. Then I put another $2m in. Then $10m in a third round. Then another $20m in the Series C. Now we’re up to $32.5m. In, say, a $250m fund — that’s a lot. Just losing the first $500k? Not a big deal in a $250m fund. It’s OK. Losing $32.5m now though — that’s a Career Ending Move.

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via https://www.aiupnow.com

Jason Lemkin, Khareem Sudlow